Author Topic: Predicting the number of coins minted for circulation  (Read 432 times)

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Offline Figleaf

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Predicting the number of coins minted for circulation
« on: August 25, 2016, 02:09:03 PM »
Some decades ago, the then director of the Royal cabinet of coins and medals, Hans Jacobi, did research into the number of coins struck in the Netherlands. He found a good correlation between stocks and numbers struck. Apparently, the Mint had a last-in-first-out policy: newly minted coins were issued first when there was demand. In the case of your question, this means that IF THIS POLICY HASN'T CHANGED you should follow annualised quarterly growth figures of the Dutch economy for 2016 and 2017. There are several sites that allow you to do this. Here is one. You may want to interpret the figures as follows:

Below 0.5%: the coins are slowly buried under later issues. They may never be issued.
From 0.5% to 1.5%: everything depends on whether the Dutch keep using cash or convert to electronic money
Above 1.5%: stocks are declining. The coins will be issued soon.

These figures are only a rough indication, because of possible underlying changes, such as sale of the Mint.


« Last Edit: October 01, 2016, 02:23:20 PM by eurocoin »
An unidentified coin is a piece of metal. An identified coin is a piece of history.